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TITLE:

DETERMINING THE EFFECT OF AGING ON BURDEN OF DISEASES

AUTHORS:

Dr Zaka Ullah, Dr Muhammad Afzal Khan, Dr Ahmad Ali

ABSTRACT:

Objective: In this study, we presented a theoretical model to measure aging rate in Vietnam, quantitatively measuring the effect of aging rate on disease patterns in each country and explaining how these effects were obtained. The purpose of this study was to investigate how disease burden varies according to the level of medical infrastructure and changes in aging index using aging data and WHO disease burden data Methods: In this study, health data on global disease burden of elderly people was analyzed from 2016 to 2019. The difference model (DID) was used to analyze the effects of aging. Results: The burden of the disease increased over time, especially in the middle-aged population. In the event of loss of life due to premature death, the number of people in middle and old age has increased significantly. When we study the econometric model after checking the relevant factors, there has been a significant increase in the number of fatalities due to illness and premature death. On the other hand, the piles group at the aging level had a significant positive impact on the year life lost (YLL). As an important variable that shows the effect of a double age difference, the interaction effect did not affect the disability-adjusted year of life (DALY), but showed a significant positive effect on year life lost. Conclusion: The loss of life due to the death of older people is higher than that of older people. Therefore, the impact of population aging on medical resources and future medical spending should take into account changes in the population structure, disease burden by age group, and the interaction of these two incremental factors. Keywords: aging, disease burden, difference of differences.

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